Successfully investing in Slovenia

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last updated on 16 June 2023 | reading time approx. 3 minutes

 

 

 

How do you assess the current economic situation in Slovenia?

Gross domestic product in Slovenia in 2022 increased by 5.4 percent compared to the previous year, due to the good development in the first half of 2022, in which real gross domestic product, compared to the first half of 2021, increased by 9.4 percent. 

The reasons behind such an increase are numerous, however there are three that stand out: goods export, which was on the constant increase until Q3/2022 (and had its peak precisely in Q3, when it went up by 11.9 percent compared to 2021); private consumption, which peaked in Q1 with an increase of 20.4 percent com­pared to the year before, and the strong post-covid recovery.

However, in later quarters of 2022, the economic situation in Slovenia cooled down – import and export turned negative in Q4. Private consumption and gross fixed capital formation also continued to fall during these quar­ters, to the point where they were only 2.6 percent and 5.9 percent higher respectively compared to the year be­fore. Such a turn of events was primarily the consequence of the most important EU trading partners’ weaker economy caused by the war in the Ukraine

At the moment (March 2023) Slovenia has an inflation rate of 10.5 percent, which is mainly due to rising prices for electricity, petroleum products and food. The unemployment rate is historically low – currently only 3.5 per­cent, i.e. at its lowest rate in the last 30 years.

How would you describe the investment climate in Slovenia? Which sectors offer the largest potential?

The investment climate is currently gloomy, particularly due to the war in the Ukraine and the general economic slowdown, as companies are less willing to invest. In addition, government investments have somewhat slowed down due to the consolidation of public finances, although they remain high. In 2023, government investments will amount to around EUR 2.24 billion.

Private investments are also largely spurred on by state subsidy programmes, particularly in the sectors of su­stain­able development, environmental policy and health. As in previous years, the green energy industry, su­stain­able agriculture and digitalisation will continue to be promoted. In addition, larger investments in waste and recycling management, e-mobility and housing are planned.

What challenges do German companies face during their business ventures into Slovenia?

In general, foreign companies in Slovenia are relatively satisfied with the quality and availability of local sup­pliers, as well as with the infrastructure and digitalisation. In addition, a higher level of satisfaction with pay­ment discipline has been noted compared to previous years. On the other hand, the inefficient bureaucracy and high tax burden, as well as a shortage of skilled workers are currently particularly noticeable.

In addition, companies in Slovenia are confronted with rising labour costs. The labour costs per hour actually worked increased on an annual basis for most jobs. In the last quarter of 2022, they were on average 11.9 per­cent higher than in the same period the year before.

In your opinion, how will Slovenia develop?

According to the forecast of the European Commission dated February 2023, a gross domestic product growth of 1 percent is forecast for Slovenia in 2023. This assessment is slightly more favourable than that of November 2022, which had forecast a growth of 0.8 percent. The outlook for 2024 is better – a growth of 2 percent is cur­ren­tly expected.

Private consumption is expected to grow only slightly in 2023, while gross fixed capital formation, supported by public investment, will continue to rise. Inflation will remain relatively high this year. The increasing employ­ment will continue to be on the rise and unemployment will continue to drop, although probably not as ex­pli­citly as in the last two years. Developments related to the Ukraine war and energy prices pose the greatest risks for the realisation of forecasts.

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